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The last poll for Iowa, from the highest rated pollster for Nate Silver, had Harris +3 and Trump won Iowa +13. The polls were better but still consistently und
by codexb 2y ago
The last poll for Iowa, from the highest rated pollster for Nate Silver, had Harris +3 and Trump won Iowa +13.
The polls were better but still consistently underestimated Trumps support by a lot. Basically, the weighting they do for the polls now basically just guarantees that they converge on the results of the last election.
- sweezyjeezy 2y agoFWIW Nate Silver also said don't trust any polls this year, and his gut was with Trump.