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This has a name: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Shy_Tory_factor https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Shy_Tory_factor
by lmz 2y ago
This has a name: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Shy_Tory_factor https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Shy_Tory_factor
- the5avage 2y agoThis is the most likely explaination imo. But even then it should be possible to use bayes rule to price it into the result.
- fuzzfactor 2y agoThis is the way it was with Nixon. After he was finally disgraced fully enough to resign with some remaining dignity, you couldn't find anybody who admitted to voting for him. And he had been re-elected to a second term !