It seems prediction markets did better on this one: https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/prediction-markets-suggest-replacing https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/predi

It seems prediction markets did better on this one: https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/prediction-markets-suggest-replacing https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/prediction-markets-suggest-... (and this was while Biden was still in the race)