Since writing this: * My colleagues Simon Grimm and Will Bradshaw did a much more thorough analysis which ended up in a similar place: https://naobservatory.or

Since writing this: * My colleagues Simon Grimm and Will Bradshaw did a much more thorough analysis which ended up in a similar place: https://naobservatory.org/blog/investigating-the-sensitivity-of-pooled-swab-sampling-for-pathogen-early-detection https://naobservatory.org/blog/investigating-the-sensitivity... * I've updated the NAO's simulator to include this data and estimate the effectiveness of different approaches to pathogen detection: https://data.securebio.org/simulator/ https://data.securebio.org/simulator/ * We've done some sample collection and are planning to be out at least weekly this infectious disease season * We're making the data available in real time at https://data.securebio.org/sampling-metadata/ https://data.securebio.org/sampling-metadata/