3 ms·
Yeah, 100% agree on all points. The idea of winning a conventional war in China's backyard after 10-20 years of them building toward it is absurd. And nuclear
by JohnBooty 2y ago
Yeah, 100% agree on all points.
The idea of winning a conventional war in China's backyard after 10-20 years of them building toward it is absurd. And nuclear war is uh, nuclear war. Not really a "winner" there.
The only thing stopping China is obviously the huge financial incentive of losing their biggest trading partner(s). That will obviously be an enormous loss for them. At some point though they may calculate that the long term gains are worth it, I don't know the calculus there.
- churchill 2y agoYes, if they can diversify and expand their positions in gateway economies like Mexico (gateway to North America), Hungary (gateway to Europe), CCP-controlled companies can sell into Western economies without being sanctioned to hell. And Western economies have gotten addicted to cheap Chinese goods: it's the one thing keeping the poor & middle-class from revolting in many first-world nations where people may have been priced out of home ownership. So, even the economic angle isn't a slam dunk for the US and her allies. Just decades of sleeping at the wheels finally catching up.