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To get this thread back on topic: The article has this as part of their reasoning: > That’s because the method a voter chooses often speaks to whom they voted

To get this thread back on topic: The article has this as part of their reasoning: > That’s because the method a voter chooses often speaks to whom they voted for. Since the issue of voting by mail became highly politicized in the 2020 election, most mail votes nationally have been cast by Democratic voters, while most in-person Election Day votes have been cast by Republicans. But this year R have focused on both early and mail-in ballots in a reversal of their traditional approach of eschewing or even attacking these voting options and it seems the general consensus is that for the 2024 elections as of last week, more Rs than Ds had actually opted for early and mail-in voting: * https://www.newsnationnow.com/politics/2024-election/early-mail-in-voting-2024-election/ https://www.newsnationnow.com/politics/2024-election/early-m... * https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/22/us/politics/trump-republicans-early-voting.html https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/22/us/politics/trump-republi... It seems a curious thing for AP (which has published pieces on this new trend) not to at least mention a disclaimer at this point? It seems like an obvious “what would people attack us for?” answer. Disclosure: not an R or a D myself.

saghm 2y ago
"Since...the 2020 election" is also not much of a precedent. That's three elections, only one of which would have been for a Senate candidate (in some states), and presumably at most one gubernatorial one except in states that might have had a special election (unless there are states with 2-year terms that I'm not aware of). Given how many more people vote in presidential election years compared to other years, and presumably fewer still do when there's not a statewide election either, it's hard to feel like there's enough info to infer much about whether this trend will hold this year.
0xcde4c3db 2y ago
I don't think the AP made an error here. Unless I'm misreading those articles, the situation is: - Republican early voting has increased since 2020. - Republicans have more in-person early votes, while Democrats have more mail-in early votes. - Nationally, Democrats still have more overall early votes because early voting is dominated by mail-in votes.

saghm 2y ago

"Since...the 2020 election" is also not much of a precedent. That's three elections, only one of which would have been for a Senate candidate (in some states), and presumably at most one gubernatorial one except in states that might have had a special election (unless there are states with 2-year terms that I'm not aware of). Given how many more people vote in presidential election years compared to other years, and presumably fewer still do when there's not a statewide election either, it's hard to feel like there's enough info to infer much about whether this trend will hold this year.

0xcde4c3db 2y ago

I don't think the AP made an error here. Unless I'm misreading those articles, the situation is: - Republican early voting has increased since 2020. - Republicans have more in-person early votes, while Democrats have more mail-in early votes. - Nationally, Democrats still have more overall early votes because early voting is dominated by mail-in votes.