2 ms·
LLMs have been hyped as AI. The hype train transformed NVidea from a relatively minor niche tech company into the largest company in the world in the past 24 mo
by keernan 2y ago
LLMs have been hyped as AI. The hype train transformed NVidea from a relatively minor niche tech company into the largest company in the world in the past 24 months. The US government called emergency meetings to address the urgent threat posed by unrestrained new AI releases. Sam Altman was fired - and rehired - over concerns regarding threats to humanity.
The tech world has been consumed and transformed by "AI" over the psst 24 months. Microsft and other big tech companies have committed to invest billions upon billions in the effort to win the "AI race".
And its all bogus hype.
First, LLMs are darn good as language models. They are very helpful in language based fields, such as programming, but even then they need human oversight. Because they are NOT AI. They cannot comprehend. They can engage in what certainly appears to be a human like conversation. But the LLM has no "understanding" of the words it prints in the screen. And, based upon its design, it never will. It is a fascinating parlor trick, useful in its own way, but never deserving of the hype train of the last 24 months.
Secondly, the savings it will generate via automation are likely to be minuscule in comparison to the costs being expended by Microsoft and other tech companies. Clearly the top professionals know all this and have other reasons to spend the money. I submit Microsoft may not "win the AI race" - simply because there isn't any AI to win - but LLMs can still pose an existential threat to Google search. Meanwhile NVidea shareholders aren't going to open up about the hype train they are riding. Nor is new billionaire Sam Altman.
But the money being spent on LLMs can't be justified for long. When viewed by what it is - and isn't - the current costs of LLM technology simply dwarf the financial gains generated. I don't know when the hype train falls off its cliff, but fall it will. And with the whole world's economy having been impacted these past 24 months, the hype train cliff is likely to be a very, very steep one.