3 ms·

How about making a prediction and we will follow up in 5 years. To me it sounds like you’re just being sort of vague. Yes, absolutely everyone knew there were

• dmix 2y ago
  Predicting it on a macro level is a boring question IMO, the influence of policy interference and social outrage every time there's an accident - which is never fully connected to the realities on the ground of true capabilities/potential - is basically a black box. Like betting on elections. My interest atm is mostly the economics question of whether LIDAR will scale widely in near term combined with the social risks (ie, millions of cars with $30-50k in sensors, which atm cost as much as the car itself, so basically only e-taxis, no personal ownership + high cost of maintenance) vs cameras being good-enough... that's a far more interesting question. It's pretty obvious LIDAR/ultrasonic or a combination with cameras is superior. So maybe some ambitious person will find some mass-producible middle ground within <5yrs shrug