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The traits I was talking about are unobserved/unknown. As mechanisms become more complex from the genetic to cellular to social, powerlaws appear more often and
by mjburgess 2y ago
The traits I was talking about are unobserved/unknown. As mechanisms become more complex from the genetic to cellular to social, powerlaws appear more often and the number of unobservables grows at least super-linearly. On these grounds I think that there really isn't any kind of social science possible.
- rwilson4 2y agoThis is a complex topic, but it's a bit simpler when outcomes are bounded, such as a binary outcome that either occurs or does not occur. In that case, the impact of any one factor is bounded. In the scenario you're describing, this other factor drowns out any influence the treatment has on the outcome. You'll struggle to get a statistically significant result (low power) and the confidence interval on the treatment effect will include 0. This too can be a valuable finding: sometimes the answer is that the treatment is not particularly effective.
- RandomLensman 2y agoGiven the practical predictability of at least some (broadly) social phenomena and interventions (or in other areas with large "factor surfaces"), not sure why any kind of social science is impossible as such. Maybe some things are out of reach, but that would hold for other sciences, too.