You're probably right (and I do use the term "probably" in a rigorous way to mean, statistically, when there are 10 pollsters and 1 reports different data, they

You're probably right (and I do use the term "probably" in a rigorous way to mean, statistically, when there are 10 pollsters and 1 reports different data, they are statistically less likely to be correct). However: Many would have said the same thing about Nate Silver in 2008 or the minority of pollsters which predicted a Trump win in 2016. The political landscape is in increasingly uncharted waters right now.