> he seems to be favoring Trump the last few days. "But I don’t think you should put any value whatsoever on anyone’s gut — including mine. Instead, you should

> he seems to be favoring Trump the last few days. "But I don’t think you should put any value whatsoever on anyone’s gut — including mine. Instead, you should resign yourself to the fact that a 50-50 forecast really does mean 50-50. And you should be open to the possibility that those forecasts are wrong, and that could be the case equally in the direction of Mr. Trump or Ms. Harris." - Nate Silver, NYT, last week https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/23/opinion/election-polls-results-trump-harris.html https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/23/opinion/election-polls-re...