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Nate Silver and his team are not at 538 any more, they were kicked out by ABC. He's at Silver Bulletin. You're correct he's saying it's a tossup but he seems to
by fluidcruft 2y ago
Nate Silver and his team are not at 538 any more, they were kicked out by ABC. He's at Silver Bulletin. You're correct he's saying it's a tossup but he seems to be favoring Trump the last few days. And he's also recently writing about fishiness he's seeing when comparing state vs national measures.
- PaulDavisThe1st 2y ago> he seems to be favoring Trump the last few days. "But I don’t think you should put any value whatsoever on anyone’s gut — including mine. Instead, you should resign yourself to the fact that a 50-50 forecast really does mean 50-50. And you should be open to the possibility that those forecasts are wrong, and that could be the case equally in the direction of Mr. Trump or Ms. Harris." - Nate Silver, NYT, last week https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/23/opinion/election-polls-results-trump-harris.html https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/23/opinion/election-polls-re...
- fluidcruft 2y agoI'm talking about his Silver Bulletin writings, not things filtered by NYT editors.