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I mean...in Nate Silvers' model, the two most likely outcomes are one or the other candidate sweeping all 7 swing states. I don't know that anyone who is actua
by MostlyStable 2y ago
I mean...in Nate Silvers' model, the two most likely outcomes are one or the other candidate sweeping all 7 swing states.
I don't know that anyone who is actually paying attention to the data will be surprised by any outcome that isn't more extreme than that.
- xhkkffbf 2y agoI'm pretty sure it's going to be Harris or Trump. One of those two.
- 4b11b4 2y agotrue but by 1 swing state? or all of em
- Izkata 2y agoThere is a small chance of a tie, because of how two states split their electoral votes. If they were both all-in like the other states I don't think there'd be a way to split the swing states to make a tie.
- xhkkffbf 2y agoTrue. Boy that would be fun to unravel.
- Izkata 2y agoIt would result in a contingent election, meaning the House of Representatives votes for President and the Senate votes for the Vice President. It is entirely possible, if extremely unlikely, for both Trump and Harris to be in office - one as as President and the other as Vice President. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Contingent_election https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Contingent_election