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I've made this bet with some of my friends for this election cycle: the polls are wrong, I just don't know in which direction yet. I'll save this topic at leas
by dragontamer 2y ago
I've made this bet with some of my friends for this election cycle: the polls are wrong, I just don't know in which direction yet.
I'll save this topic at least. In just a few short weeks we will see which theories were correct. But its important to see these predictions _BEFORE_ the election results are announced.
There will be a lot of people after the election pretending to be correct and on the "I Told You So" despite their poll numbers being bullshit. So now is the time to collect arguments and theories.
- MostlyStable 2y agoIf your friends took that bet, and if "wrong" doesn't mean "more than 5 points off", then they are suckers, since the historical average polling error is 2-4 points, so betting that "the polls are wrong" without picking a direction and magnitude is a gimme.