3 ms·

Seems complicated, land neighbor would be only Malaysia right? By water, Indonesia? Vietnam is close but already under heavy growth, not sure they have any rea

Seems complicated, land neighbor would be only Malaysia right? By water, Indonesia? Vietnam is close but already under heavy growth, not sure they have any reasonable landmass or supply of electricity. Not as familiar with Thailand but would be surprised. All of those above players could be wild cards. Australia is massive and I am making this up but like 95% of it is empty. Perhaps solar could be so incredible cheap that the transmission cost is bearable.

lupusreal 2y ago
Australia is risky because as a member of AUKUS they are likely to be a combatant in the anticipated war between America/Taiwan aligned countries and China. This puts Singapore's power supply in the crosshairs.
- lazide 2y ago
  Eh, Singapore is a bridge country for China to western markets. And is 80% ethnic Chinese. At the point random power plants in the Australian Outback are being bombed to get to Singapore, Singapore has gotten so fucked already they can’t stand.
  - hnfong 2y ago
    Welp. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bVzRLgw2NTc https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bVzRLgw2NTc
    - lazide 2y ago
      Your point is?
  - lupusreal 2y ago
    > power plants in the Australian Outback are being bombed More likely for the cable to be cut. It's easier and has plausible deniability.
    - lazide 2y ago
      Fair point - I’d expect the US would do it before China, Australia, Russia, etc. in this case though.
      - defrost 2y ago
        If the xenophobic Tom Cotton crowd get the upper hand, sure. O/wise, not so much.
        lazide 2y ago
        Then who would you expect would do it?
        defrost 2y ago
        The question assumes I expect someone to cut a power cable between Australia and Singapore. I don't. In the event of Chinese move on Taiwan then if Tom Cotton & Co. have decision making power then it's possible but unlikely they'd be dumb enough to think perturbing grid power in Singapore might exert pressure on China .. but honestly, who'd actually be that silly?
        lazide 2y ago
        I think we both agree then.
        lupusreal 2y ago
        It doesn't have to be the expected outcome to be a threat worth considering. Russian Roulette won't kill you five times out of six but that's still considered an extremely high risk.

lupusreal 2y ago

Australia is risky because as a member of AUKUS they are likely to be a combatant in the anticipated war between America/Taiwan aligned countries and China. This puts Singapore's power supply in the crosshairs.

lazide 2y ago
Eh, Singapore is a bridge country for China to western markets. And is 80% ethnic Chinese. At the point random power plants in the Australian Outback are being bombed to get to Singapore, Singapore has gotten so fucked already they can’t stand.
- hnfong 2y ago
  Welp. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bVzRLgw2NTc https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bVzRLgw2NTc
  - lazide 2y ago
    Your point is?
- lupusreal 2y ago
  > power plants in the Australian Outback are being bombed More likely for the cable to be cut. It's easier and has plausible deniability.
  - lazide 2y ago
    Fair point - I’d expect the US would do it before China, Australia, Russia, etc. in this case though.
    - defrost 2y ago
      If the xenophobic Tom Cotton crowd get the upper hand, sure. O/wise, not so much.
      - lazide 2y ago
        Then who would you expect would do it?
        defrost 2y ago
        The question assumes I expect someone to cut a power cable between Australia and Singapore. I don't. In the event of Chinese move on Taiwan then if Tom Cotton & Co. have decision making power then it's possible but unlikely they'd be dumb enough to think perturbing grid power in Singapore might exert pressure on China .. but honestly, who'd actually be that silly?
        lazide 2y ago
        I think we both agree then.
        lupusreal 2y ago
        It doesn't have to be the expected outcome to be a threat worth considering. Russian Roulette won't kill you five times out of six but that's still considered an extremely high risk.