The KGB recommended their students read detective novels. Detectives look at information and model the past: light, shadow, heat, sounds, pressure, timelines,

The KGB recommended their students read detective novels. Detectives look at information and model the past: light, shadow, heat, sounds, pressure, timelines, motives. Also model the future: elections, social trends, stock prices, a movie plot, anything, everything. If your prediction fails, say how did I get that wrong; what didn't I consider that would have made my prediction more accurate? Or, possibly you have a physical condition like I had; fixing sleep apnea raised my lichess elo by like 200 points. https://atriumhealth.org/medical-services/prevention-wellness/other-prevention-wellness-services/treating-sleep-disorders/sleep-apnea-quiz https://atriumhealth.org/medical-services/prevention-wellnes...