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> Meanwhile, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq have consistently posted annual double-digit real returns This part scares me. Are they supposed to? Are we way above trend
by MuffinFlavored 2y ago
> Meanwhile, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq have consistently posted annual double-digit real returns
This part scares me. Are they supposed to? Are we way above trend for average growth? Mean reversion? Is the market just pricing in a lot of upcoming economic growth due to rates coming down + AI? More growth?…
- Mistletoe 2y agoYes we are incredibly above the mean. https://www.currentmarketvaluation.com/models/s&p500-mean-reversion.php https://www.currentmarketvaluation.com/models/s&p500-mean-re...
- MuffinFlavored 2y agoThe problem with this site/all of these indicators is you could/would use these as a reason to 'sit out' and not be as "highly exposed/long" as you should be, and... you would have missed out big returns lately... Which goes into... do the suggestions/rules of yesterday apply to today? Evidence sort of at the moment shows no.
- Mistletoe 2y agoSitting out when it reached these levels in the past would have been highly profitable. 1969, 2000, 2021…