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Love that book. Such a powerful idea to phrase your predictions in terms of percentages rather than absolutes. Apparently the Super Bowl anecdote is controversi
by kaycebasques 2y ago
Love that book. Such a powerful idea to phrase your predictions in terms of percentages rather than absolutes. Apparently the Super Bowl anecdote is controversial though? I.e. the conclusions to draw from that anecdote are very debatable.
- Swizec 2y agoI don’t remember the specific anecdotes too much, but the lessons make intuitive sense and feel useful. The one that sticks to mind most is that a good decision can have a bad outcome and that a good outcome doesn’t always mean the decision was good.