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Thinking in Bets has been one of the most useful books to how I approach software engineering. It’s not even about code, just how to make decisions effectively
by Swizec 2y ago
Thinking in Bets has been one of the most useful books to how I approach software engineering. It’s not even about code, just how to make decisions effectively in limited information environments.
- kaycebasques 2y agoLove that book. Such a powerful idea to phrase your predictions in terms of percentages rather than absolutes. Apparently the Super Bowl anecdote is controversial though? I.e. the conclusions to draw from that anecdote are very debatable.
- Swizec 2y agoI don’t remember the specific anecdotes too much, but the lessons make intuitive sense and feel useful. The one that sticks to mind most is that a good decision can have a bad outcome and that a good outcome doesn’t always mean the decision was good.