> I read OP's message as also saying "this looked like science fiction just a couple of years ago". > ...AI is evolving quickly in many domains, so it's not a

> I read OP's message as also saying "this looked like science fiction just a couple of years ago". > ...AI is evolving quickly in many domains, so it's not a huge stretch to think we might make another order of magnitude improvement in self-driving cars. At least enough improvements to fully solve the robotaxi problem. But that's sloppy and fallacious reasoning, and there are literally thousands of examples of it failing in many different areas (including AI!) in recent and no-so-recent history. One example is SHRDLU, which led to similar excessive optimism back in the late 70s: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/SHRDLU#Consequences https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/SHRDLU#Consequences. It's like someone with the fuzzy category "technology" interpreting the amazing advances in computer graphics over the 90s and 2000s to conclude we will be colonizing Mars soon.