Thank you for providing a reference. Sight unseen, I'm inclined to think that SpaceX is more likely right here. In particular part of the higher figure is a low

Thank you for providing a reference. Sight unseen, I'm inclined to think that SpaceX is more likely right here. In particular part of the higher figure is a lower launch cadence. But SpaceX is building their technology around very rapid turnaround times. With multiple Starships, there is good reason to believe that they will not need to wait 6 days between launches. Of course this depends on FAA permission. Whether they get FAA permission may well depend on who wins the election. Musk has gone out of his way to place a big bet on Trump, and it is clear that Trump will happily get rid of red tape for Musk in return. My read is that part of the reason why Musk placed that bet on Trump is because the Biden/Harris administration has already decided to place lots of red tape in Musk's way. At first as a reaction to Musk's hostility towards unions and COVID restrictions on manufacturing, and then as a reaction against what Musk was doing with Twitter.