Bottom line: Turnout reflects the odds that an individual vote will impact the outcome. In most races, there is little doubt (more than 80% odds) as to who wil

Bottom line: Turnout reflects the odds that an individual vote will impact the outcome. In most races, there is little doubt (more than 80% odds) as to who will win. And this extends all the way down to the local level. And voters, candidates and political parties all know this.