I actually do agree with you. If you "think locally and act locally" while young, you run the risk of being blindsided by tail outcomes in the future. I think

I actually do agree with you. If you "think locally and act locally" while young, you run the risk of being blindsided by tail outcomes in the future. I think either global thinking or acting in youth is a prerequisite to arriving at the position you describe. I mean, is there a better explanation for mid-life crises?