I think a lot of developers will get replaced by AI. I’ve worked in digitalisation and automation for a couple of decades now and I’ve gone into a role which sp

I think a lot of developers will get replaced by AI. I’ve worked in digitalisation and automation for a couple of decades now and I’ve gone into a role which specialises in helping start-ups grow their IT into something will will actually work as they transition into enterprise organisations. I think almost all the work I replace or optimise will be done without developers in a few years (or maybe in a decade). This is everything related to data transformation, storage and transportation - to applications and websites. In the organisation I currently work, we’re already seeing rather large amounts of digitalisation done by non-developers. This is something organisations have tried to do for a long time, but all those no-code tools, robot process automation and so on quickly require some sort of software developer despite all their lofty promises. This isn’t what I’m seeing with AI. We have a lot of people building things that automate or enhance their workflows, we’re seeing api usage and data warehouse work done from non-developers in ways that are “good enough” and often on the same level or better than what software developers would deliver. They’ve already replaced their corporate designers with AI generated icons and such, and they’ll certainly need fewer developers going forward. Possibly relying solely on external specialists when something needs to scale or has too many issues. I also think that a lot or “standard” platforms are going to struggle. Why would you buy a generic website for your small business when you can rather easily develop one yourself? All in all I’d bet that at least 70% of the developer jobs in my area aren’t going to be there in 10 years and so far they don’t seem to open up new software development jobs. So while they are generating new jobs, it’s not in software development. I’m not too worried for myself. I think I’m old enough that I can ride on my specialty in cleaning up messes, or if that fails transition into medical software or other areas where you really, really, don’t want the AI to write any code. I’d certainly worry if I was a young generalist developer, especially if a big chunk of my work relies on me using AI or search engines.