Nuclear disarmament will only occur when defensive mechanisms and new weapons make contemporary nuclear weapons obsolete. I think this will happen in approximat

Nuclear disarmament will only occur when defensive mechanisms and new weapons make contemporary nuclear weapons obsolete. I think this will happen in approximately 40 years. Once the codes are distributed to the stewards of the PALs, the confusion and mutiny won't matter, as at least some warheads will launch. Maybe there will be cancelations, but I find that to be a happy thought, not a practical one. I agree with your thought process though. Stability, be it through superseding technology or civics is what will cause these weapons to be cast aside. Mutual disarmament will occur when stability is at its apex.