3 ms·

I guess, I want to know what the how accurate the models from 1998 on have been. Iirc, “An Inconvenient Truth” was put in 2006. I remember it winning Best Docu

• rhcom2 2y ago
  > We find that climate models published over the past five decades were generally quite accurate in predicting global warming in the years after publication, particularly when accounting for differences between modeled and actual changes in atmospheric CO 2 and other climate drivers. https://eps.harvard.edu/files/eps/files/hausfather_2020_evaluating_historical_gmst_projections.pdf https://eps.harvard.edu/files/eps/files/hausfather_2020_eval...
• userbinator 2y ago
  18 years later and it's still the misleading propaganda it has always been.
• magicalhippo 2y ago
  I can't say for 1998, but this paper[1] compares the IPCC projections made from 2000 and onwards. The earlies estimation underpredicted temperature rise while later ones did better. I also checked the IPCC predictions from 2001 myself a couple of years ago[2], and across multiple factors like sea rise, glacier loss etc observed values seemed to be within the predictions. [1]: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-022-16264-6 https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-022-16264-6 [2]: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=27166369 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=27166369