4 ms·
It's true that Covid superspreading was a thing, but the R0 for WT was 2.66 [1], which is >> 1 even without superspreaders. Heck, Rt was often > 1 during lockdo
by worstspotgain 2y ago
It's true that Covid superspreading was a thing, but the R0 for WT was 2.66 [1], which is >> 1 even without superspreaders. Heck, Rt was often > 1 during lockdowns in Europe and the US when there were zero superspreading events. It took an unprecedented 12-week lockdown to put it out in Wuhan/Hubei. One person per household was only allowed to leave the house once every two days. [2]
It's also true that Omicron required much less contact to spread. Instead of being in the room for 2 minutes like in my WT example, 10 or 20 seconds might be enough. [3]
I do agree that what we know about H5N1 is plenty enough to be alarmed.
[1] https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9517346/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9517346/
[2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/COVID-19_lockdown_in_China https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/COVID-19_lockdown_in_China
[3] https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9713573/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9713573/
- lamontcg 2y ago> the R0 for WT was 2.66 That number includes superspreading events which inflates it.