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I'm not saying 5 successful unmanned missions are impossible in 2 years, but I think Elon may have slightly underestimated the difficulty of the task. There is
by jandrese 2y ago
I'm not saying 5 successful unmanned missions are impossible in 2 years, but I think Elon may have slightly underestimated the difficulty of the task. There is a lot of stuff left to develop still and very little time to do it.
Elon is not great at estimating how long tasks will take. He originally promised that full self driving would be complete by 2018.
- dragonwriter 2y agoNote that its not so much five in two years as five in a narrow window that opens in two years; they’d be near-simultaneous missions, on whose success would depend the manned mission when the subsequent launch window opened. But, yeah, Musk timelines are not something I would put a lot of faith in.