This analysis (it’s not talent, it’s pure random chance) seems like it’s failing to account for an enormous host of variables that have a significant impact on

This analysis (it’s not talent, it’s pure random chance) seems like it’s failing to account for an enormous host of variables that have a significant impact on outcome. Probably the most obvious one is whether you are a child of wealthy and well-connected parents. These can be interpreted as “pure random chance haha!” but they really aren’t if they can’t “randomly” happen post-hoc to some “random” person actually picked at random.