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Maybe I'm being simplistic of overly optimistic - but I would think that there would be a massive opportunity for collaboration with fluid dynamics to simulate
by w_for_wumbo 2y ago
Maybe I'm being simplistic of overly optimistic - but I would think that there would be a massive opportunity for collaboration with fluid dynamics to simulate and 'fast-forward' the weather to see likely impacts.
It might not be correct the first time, but as we map the changes from prediction against the reality, we could adjust for factors that we hadn't considered.
It seems to me that we shouldn't be too far from accurate weather prediction and perhaps with huge amount of data capture having a digital twin of the planet in which we have enough confidence in to model potential climate impacts of policies, products could allow us to have robust discussions around where we're headed and what paths we could take to adapt or overcome the impacts we're already facing.
- epgui 2y agoThat simply doesn’t work, for the same reason we can’t even model three massive bodies interacting with each other via gravity, which is a much much simpler problem.
- ekianjo 2y agopredicting weather beyond a very short amount of time is a myth or a delusion. its a chaotic system just like any fluid that goes out of the newtonian zone.
- NikkiA 2y agoPredicting it well enough for real world uses is a myth/delusion, yes, but predicting it well enough for entertainment purposes in a flight simulator is an entirely different, and much more mistake-tolerant, proposition.
- carabiner 2y agoYou mean building a model of the atmosphere? That's what numerical weather models do and they've existed for decades. There are physical ones like ECMWF and newer ML-based ones like ECMWF-AIFS which uses neural networks. This is quite a comment.