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> "Senior software engineers stopped being developed in the US around 2012," Blake said. "That’s the real story. No country on Earth is producing new coders fas
by karaterobot 2y ago
> "Senior software engineers stopped being developed in the US around 2012," Blake said. "That’s the real story. No country on Earth is producing new coders faster than old ones retire. India and Brazil were the last countries and both stopped growing new devs circa 2023. China stopped growing new devs in 2020."
Huh. I hadn't heard this, and it goes against my intuition. They cite a Stackoverflow survey, and some other articles. A bolus of new developers entered the industry around 2000-2010, and are at least senior level now. I assumed the same trend had continued, since development is a pretty safe route to a good salary. What industry are reasonably intelligent people going into these days? The trades are a great option, but I was recently hearing about a scarcity of skilled tradesmen, too. AI was not an existential job threat in 2012, either, so that's not the reason, nor is the present moment's poor job market. What are people doing to make a living now?
- Izkata 2y agoI have a suspicion that may refer to how many people hop jobs for pay raises or otherwise manage to avoid improving their skills. Lots more developers, plenty of years-in-profession seniors, few high-experience seniors. Ever since people started talking about the coding abilities of AI I've been thinking this pattern would just accelerate, with beginners and inexperienced developers leaning on it too much instead of improving their own skills.