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I don't doubt that there's tons of work ahead to even just integrate current-day capabilities of LLMs into our society and economy. But when talking about futu
by lxgr 2y ago
I don't doubt that there's tons of work ahead to even just integrate current-day capabilities of LLMs into our society and economy.
But when talking about future growth potential, I don't think you can get around making assumptions about the shape of the growth function.
- danielmarkbruce 2y agoYou can't write a nice article about it. But you can talk about it with a simple "things are going to get a loooot better". The problem with thinking about progress in functions is it suggests some underlying law exists, and there isn't one. Even if someone could point to a function and say "10x better" by 2030 - what does that even mean in the context of an LLM for example?