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Is there any evidence for any of those hypotheses? More apps in app stores? Mass layoffs? How could the "benefits be too recent to be measured" if everyone is a
by foobarqux 2y ago
Is there any evidence for any of those hypotheses? More apps in app stores? Mass layoffs? How could the "benefits be too recent to be measured" if everyone is arguing that they are already 10x more productive?
If you accept that premise the only conclusion left is that it has made developer's work much less but their bosses haven't noticed yet.
But you would still expect that some people are working for themselves and continue to work the same amount of hours so should be producing 10 apps a year instead of 1. Are there any examples of that?
- kurthr 2y agoIf "everyone is arguing that they are already 10x" since GPT4 18mo ago, why aren't they 100x with _o1 and 3.5 Sonnet? Maybe it's bs and they've been spending actual hours getting maybe 2x more productive for the last year. None of it has kicked in yet? It might continue to improve? Who knows. Actual productivity takes time, and actual products take work. Talk is cheap, show me the code.
- faangguyindia 2y agoYes jobs cut will be secondary market first. India have had massive layoffs in tech sector. Europe and US will follow suit once companies layoff dead weight in outsourcing locations first.