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It’s different for every company, but if we look at Kodak for example, the market shifted and they didn’t keep up. They developed a digital camera in 1975, so i
by al_borland 2y ago
It’s different for every company, but if we look at Kodak for example, the market shifted and they didn’t keep up. They developed a digital camera in 1975, so it wasn’t like they were surprised and didn’t have a shot. It is more likely that they wanted to protect their film business. They saw themselves in the film business, so as the need for film faded, so did their market share. Other companies filled the void.
Kodak got hit again when the smartphone launched. They carved out a ok niche as having some easy to use digital cameras, and the disposables were still semi-popular, but the smartphone effectively killed the point and shoot camera.
They had time to pivot in many directions, and failed to do so in any meaningful way. It’s a good idea to make sure a business has a clear vision that isn’t dependent on a technology, so it can evolve over time. If instead of film, Kodak focused on something like, “capturing memories.” That leaves a wider door open for digital cameras, video, smartphones (or partnerships/licensing), printers (which they do), but even into cloud services and software. Cloud storage, photo management, sharing, etc. Humans have always had a desire to capture memories, so the vision would never die, just change formats. From etchings on a cave wall to photorealistic 3D printers of today. They don’t even have to limit themselves to visual media either. But they got stuck on film, it is what it is.
- AnimalMuppet 2y agoI wonder: Are there any examples of a large company successfully pivoting completely out of what had been its bread-and-butter competency? I was going to say 3M, because they were originally owned a mine, and had to pivot when the ore was too low grade. But they weren't a large company then. You could argue that Apple did with the iPhone, but it was only half a pivot, since they're still in the desktop business too. So don't be too hard on Kodak. They had plenty of time (and warning) to pivot out of film, and they didn't, but very few firms successfully do that.
- bb88 2y agoSuzuki is the best example I can find. They were famous for looms well before motorcycles. I'm betting the best examples will also come from Japan after WWII. Netflix might be a close second because it went from managing warehouses full of DVD's to streaming and producing original content. Microsoft and Amazon all belong in same camp as Apple. AWS and Azure are big profit centers.
- etrautmann 2y agoNintendo pivoted from cards to games but they likely weren’t huge before the pivot either.
- al_borland 2y agoNetflix. Though it might have been the plan from the start, their bread and butter was the logistics around shipping DVDs to people, and the pivoted to lead the charge on streaming video. AT&T. They basically owned the phone lines, but rather than getting stuck there they were able to transition to cellular and fiber. I thought they’d get stuck for a while when their slow DSL over the old phone lines was looking bad next to cable, but now they are trying to get the government to stop serving some old phone lines. If a company does it well, it will feel more like an evolution or diversification, rather than a hard pivot. Think companies like Disney who are into everything, so where they started is such a small piece of the pie it doesn’t matter all that much. Or IBM where they transitioned from analog to digital business machines. I won’t claim keeping any business going is easy. Very few are able to stay relevant for decades, or a person’s lifetime. Those that do are the ones that evolve and reinvent themselves over time, generally speaking.
- Ekaros 2y agoCalling Netflix a pivot is maybe wrong in my mind. It is same model in essence just done differently, renting content. From physical to digital which means lower overhead and you are just moving your own customers from one to other. Basically it is optimization of process not replacement.
- al_borland 2y agoRight, but they didn’t get stuck in the DVD business and fail like every other video rental service. They changed the business to serve the greater mission of letting customers watch a lot of movies, rather than thinking their job was simply to make renting DVDs easy. It seems natural, because they did it well, but look at Blockbuster. Imagine if Netflix stuck with physical media, and then Hulu came out. Netflix would have been toast. Maybe they would have acquired RedBox to hang on for a while longer, but ultimately physical media rental would have only taken them so far. Netflix was willing to cannibalize their own DVD business for the future streaming business. A lot of companies aren’t willing to sacrifice their golden goose for an unknown future. Apple has been good at this as well. The iPod was most of their business, and then they released the iPhone which effectively killed the iPod. Then they released the iPad with the expectation that it would eventually take a huge chunk of the laptop market. If a company evolves well and is willing to cannibalize their own products, they don’t need to take the radical Hail Mary pivot. Looking back the iPhone seems like a pretty natural evolution for Apple, but compare that to Microsoft. They missed the boat, had a few false starts, and effectively missed the entire move to mobile. They’ve made up for it in other areas, but a few big misses like that and companies die. Look at BlackBerry; they botched the move to the modern smartphone and were done. They were too worried about hanging onto the past and trying to carry it forward in some way. It doesn’t seem like a big pivot to make for a phone company, but it was enough to sink them. Nokia too… a shell of what it once was.
- bruce511 2y agoSo many, everywhere you look. Microsoft started out with OS, branched into Office, branched into servers, branched into Azure. Apple started with desktop, branched into phones, earpods etc. IBM went from hardware to services. Just because a company pivots, it doesn't mean they gave to set fire to the old business. It means they move on from it -keeping it alive, while embracing the next step. Apple still sells desktops but that's a tiny part of the business. The still sell laptops but that's a fraction of the appstore business and so on. Google still does search, but is slso YouTube and Gmail etc. They are investing in AI which may turn out to be a search replacement. Most businesses are always moving forward, moving to the next thing. It's not "pivoting" or abandoning old things, it's about embracing the new. We're hard on Kodak because they saw the future and promptly pretended it wasn't going to happen.
- karmakurtisaani 2y agoNokia went from producing boots to electronics like tvs and cell phones to building mobile networks. With varying levels of success, obviously.
- deleted 2y ago[deleted]
- bbatha 2y ago> They developed a digital camera in 1975, so it wasn’t like they were surprised and didn’t have a shot. It is more likely that they wanted to protect their film business. They saw themselves in the film business, so as the need for film faded, so did their market share. Other companies filled the void. Kodak was never really a camera company, they've been a chemical company their whole time. Indeed industrial chemical sales make up a significant chunk of revenue to this day. Kodak was actually pretty aware that the film business was on its way out they aggressively hit the digital market in the 90s. They had the first DSLRs in the 90s and the first commercially available full frame DSLRs. They also had the first commercially successful line of digital point and shoots, starting from a partnership with apple in the early 90s. They had moderately successful digital point and shoots through the digital points and shoot heyday. However, it wouldn't have really mattered even if they won the digital camera market, at its peak the total market was still a fraction of just Kodak's film business. They were technically beat to market just barely, but Kodak was the first to deliver more than pre-orders.