I cannot really take this piece seriously if it posits that it was "reasonable" to believe in AGI within 5 years in 2017. Thats a proposition all of it's own de

I cannot really take this piece seriously if it posits that it was "reasonable" to believe in AGI within 5 years in 2017. Thats a proposition all of it's own demanding a bit of discussion. No, it was not reasonable. It was highly conjectural, ill-informed speculative crap from people like Ray Kurzeweil (who has been predicting AGI in <5years for the last 4 decades). It was not reasonable. it was stupid, and an article which takes it at face value to argue to beliefs and rationalism has a really weak foundation. Nice writing otherwise. I enjoyed reading it. would read again. 3/10.