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It's not just that Tim Cook wants to help humanity, or more accurately avoids the false positive products. Nor should Apple aim to deliver "I'm so special!" fe

by w10-1 2y ago

It's not just that Tim Cook wants to help humanity, or more accurately avoids the false positive products. Nor should Apple aim to deliver "I'm so special!" feeling of a new product category. The key is: Tim Cook understands the criticality of goodwill in the context of pervasive computing. If you used computers from the 1990's-2010's, you grew to hate - hate - the fact that you had to use Microsoft. Office was king, and blue screens and viruses only evolved into more subtle pain. Now, we just settle into our lives, as enhanced by devices we carry. That scale happens when you hit not 99% but 99.999% quality. (Yes, Android+Samsung is a copycat, one that wouldn't exist or have any direction without Apple.) Gruber's not sure what the next thing will be. I am. It will be the natural UI's - voice and maybe vision - augmented with AI assistants. Voice computing, like speech recognition more generally, is jarring because 3-5% of the time you're dropping back into correction mode. But on-device speech-interactive AI will learn and correct all that. It will be understood as such in 2025, voice-only apps will go big in 2026, and voice-only devices will be available in 2027, along with lightweight voice+vision. Then we'll only need to carry airpods, and we'll be happy to pay $3k for that.

DaoVeles 2y ago
I want to believe! But I think your vision goes a little too heavy on audio only side. By that I mean, the biggest problem with voice control is the lack of detailed feed back. This is why people will usually use it to check the weather, but the rest of the time it becomes a 'trust but verify' mode. That why many are happy to place appointments, dial calls and set the GPS but only so long as they can visually check it is correct. That is the largest hurdle to over come and it is something that will in part come from sizable R&D but also be driven by a few inspired folks that can intuitively resolves some key issues. Apple is trying, like how they had the Voice only version of Apple Music, but it still isn't there. The problem is with anything, others rush in to get to market first but not doing it right and ruin it for those trying to make it great.
macintosh-hd 2y ago
This just doesn't make any sense. Even in an ideal world where voice assistants never failed, some of the most basic daily interactions become extremely complex and time consuming with audio only. When 3 different people text you it takes infinitely more time to clarify that with voice than you would be able to just read. Plus, people like social media, and young people really like tik tok. How are you going to record or meaningfully play back videos on a device where you can't see? Voice only is significantly more of a gimmick than the Vision Pro. Nobody likes navigating call center menus. A voice only smart device would be doing that all day long.

by w10-1 2y ago

DaoVeles 2y ago

I want to believe! But I think your vision goes a little too heavy on audio only side. By that I mean, the biggest problem with voice control is the lack of detailed feed back. This is why people will usually use it to check the weather, but the rest of the time it becomes a 'trust but verify' mode. That why many are happy to place appointments, dial calls and set the GPS but only so long as they can visually check it is correct. That is the largest hurdle to over come and it is something that will in part come from sizable R&D but also be driven by a few inspired folks that can intuitively resolves some key issues. Apple is trying, like how they had the Voice only version of Apple Music, but it still isn't there. The problem is with anything, others rush in to get to market first but not doing it right and ruin it for those trying to make it great.

macintosh-hd 2y ago

This just doesn't make any sense. Even in an ideal world where voice assistants never failed, some of the most basic daily interactions become extremely complex and time consuming with audio only. When 3 different people text you it takes infinitely more time to clarify that with voice than you would be able to just read. Plus, people like social media, and young people really like tik tok. How are you going to record or meaningfully play back videos on a device where you can't see? Voice only is significantly more of a gimmick than the Vision Pro. Nobody likes navigating call center menus. A voice only smart device would be doing that all day long.