4 ms·
So now it’s a question of how fast the AGI will run? :)
by bjornsing 2y ago
So now it’s a question of how fast the AGI will run? :)
- oblio 2y agoIt's fine, it will only need to be powered by a black hole to run.
- exe34 2y agothe first one anyway. after that it will find more efficient ways. we did, afterall.
- wahnfrieden 2y agoit's not obviously achievable. for instance, we don't have the compute power to simulate cellular organisms of much complexity, and have not found efficiencies to scale that
- HeatrayEnjoyer 2y agoHuman level AGI only requires 20 watts
- deleted 2y ago[deleted]
- oblio 2y agoWith a mechanism for AGI we don't comprehend at all. Airplanes don't fly by flapping their wings.
- atomic128 2y agoNuclear fission is the answer. The company Oracle just announced that it is designing data centers with small modular nuclear reactors: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=41505514 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=41505514 There are already 440 nuclear reactors operating in 32 countries today. Sam Altman owns a stake in Oklo, a small modular reactor company. Bill Gates has a huge stake in his TerraPower reactor company. In China, 5 reactors are being built every year. You just don't hear about it... yet. No amount of batteries can protect a solar/wind grid from an arbitrarily extended period of "bad" weather. It's like range anxiety in an electric car. If you have N days of battery storage and the sun doesn't shine for N+1 days, you're in trouble. Nuclear fission is safe, clean, secure, and reliable. An investor might consider buying physical uranium (via ticker SRUUF in America) or buying Cameco (via ticker CCJ). Cameco is the dominant Canadian uranium mining company that also owns Westinghouse. Westinghouse licenses the AP1000 pressurized water reactor used at Vogtle in the U.S. as well as in China.
- oblio 2y agoHey, I got a random serious comment about nuclear power :-))) To your point: > No amount of batteries can protect a solar/wind grid from an arbitrarily extended period of "bad" weather. Like nuclear winter caused by a nuclear power plant blowing up and everyone confusing the explosion with the start of a nuclear war? :-p On a more serious note: > No amount of batteries can protect a solar/wind grid from an arbitrarily extended period of "bad" weather. It's like range anxiety in an electric car. If you have N days of battery storage and the sun doesn't shine for N+1 days, you're in trouble. We still have hydro plants, wind power, geothermal, long distance electrical transmission, etc. Also, what's "doesn't shine"? Solar panels generate power as long as it's not night and it's never night all the time around the world. Plus they're developing sodium batteries, if you want to put your money somewhere, put it there. Those will be super cheap and they're the perfect grid-level battery.
- roenxi 2y ago> ... and it's never night all the time around the world. I'm not sure that is 100% true. >99.99% true, but it can happen in practice. https://www.newsweek.com/when-sun-disappeared-historians-detail-worst-year-alive-1750252 https://www.newsweek.com/when-sun-disappeared-historians-det...
- HarHarVeryFunny 2y agoIt's not AGI - it's tree of thoughts, driven by some RL-derived heuristics. I suppose what this type of approach provides is better prediction/planning by using more of what the model learnt during training, but it doesn't address the model being able to learn anything new. It'll be interesting to see how this feels/behaves in practice.
- juliend2 2y agoI see this pattern coming where we're still able to say: "It's not AGI - it's X, driven by Y-driven heuristics", but that's going to effectively be an AGI if given enough compute/time/data. Being able to describe the theory of how it's doing its thing sure is reassuring though.
- suziemanul 2y agoYes.. we have 60% that inception will happen within 24 months.
- suziemanul 2y agoThis is still the missing piece of the puzzle.