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I'll feel free to write how I write. I said the _trend_ is PRC will increase ability to degrade CONUS from essentially zero pre modernization 10 years ago, i.e
by maxglute 2y ago
I'll feel free to write how I write.
I said the _trend_ is PRC will increase ability to degrade CONUS from essentially zero pre modernization 10 years ago, i.e. US planners will have to factor in kinetic CONUS disruption and associated affects on US industry / primacy accordingly. Meanwhile, PRC military buildup / expansion of A2D2 in her backyard is decreasing US's ability to degrade mainland using forward positioned platforms that has been basis for US expenditionary force posture. If you follow the space, some are starting to acknowledge such CONUS vunerability this year (i.e. heard a few interviewees on Aerospace Advantage / Mitchell Insitute accept CONUS infra going boom is future US planners need to account for), will take time for it to migrate to mainstream discussion. Many proxy indicators (explosion of PRC rocketforce / productivity at TEL factories) comport with PRC telescoping they're pursuing rocket based conventional globle strike explicitly to target CONUS. And important to recognize PRC has infra for 4x more people, hence CONUS can be effected with proportionally less targets - a few hundred refineries and lng plants seperates US from stone age, meanwhile US may have to inflict more damage somehow for proportional reduction in PRC warmaking ability. All this happened within last few years, i.e. balance will flip faster than we think, likely ~2030s.