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I'm aware. It's still relevant. Even with the August lull, we've had a very active season so far. We're 4 days into September and activity has already cranked

• rufus_foreman 2y ago
  >> I'm aware. It's still relevant. If someone predicts "X will happen in the next 7 to 10 days" and 7 to 10 days later (or 15 days later, in this case), X does not happen, their prediction is not "still relevant", it's wrong. The sources you are reading made predictions that turned out not to be true. Do you update your confidence in the sources you are reading in that case? Or do something else...
  • sjs382 2y ago
    The "X" here is that "setup is probably going to change in 7 to 10 days to allow things to crank up in September", not that "we'll definitely see more cyclones in September". You're grading a weather forecaster pass/fail on a prediction that didn't make. Which, I guess is your prerogative... If a forecaster says that there's a 90% chance of rain and it doesn't rain, that doesn't mean they were wrong and doesn't mean that the forecast was useless.