3 ms·
The current 21700 batteries is something like 250Wh/kg (just shy of Tesla's 270Wh/kg or so) and cost (looking at AliExpress) $125/KWh retail. So a current Chine
by trhway 2y ago
The current 21700 batteries is something like 250Wh/kg (just shy of Tesla's 270Wh/kg or so) and cost (looking at AliExpress) $125/KWh retail. So a current Chinese car with 50-100KWh has 200-400Kg battery at the cost of $6000-12000 (and if that 100KWh battery with typical sustained 4C (ie. 400KW power), peak 10C, is paired with a 400-600KW electric engine under $15-20K - that is luxury/exotic car territory). Comparing to ICE drivetrain there is only one conclusion - the ICE is inevitably going to be pushed out of the mainstream into a niche player ( even Formula-1 is hybrid already).
The US tariffs will delay that a bit, yet the writing is on the wall - nobody can go against such an economic paradigm shift.
- lnsru 2y agoConsumers are not rational. Range anxiety is a thing. And there are some mystical forces pushing weird news about electric vehicles constantly. Popular ones: you’ll freeze in your car in traffic jam in winter. No repair shop can work on electrical vehicles. They burn every other day. And so on.
- trhway 2y ago>Consumers are not rational. Definitely, how could otherwise hundreds of millions be convinced to ride 15-25 gallon gasoline bombs :) It seems that there are already 100kwh+ batteries in the work for 500 miles range. My favorite though have been series hybrids, and I predicted here a decade ago that such hybrids with specially built/tuned engines will dominate the market as the best of both worlds. Seems I’ve been wrong about the wide market, still hope for the niches.