I would be shocked if, looking back, there has been reliable correlation between people who look smart on HN (or Reddit), and people who have delivered outsized

I would be shocked if, looking back, there has been reliable correlation between people who look smart on HN (or Reddit), and people who have delivered outsized returns to Ycombinator. Has pg or anyone else at YC ever provided a report or update on this idea? My guess is that being a prolific enough poster to be recognized on a web forum / message board is more likely to be a negative correlation with startup success. It’s not like startup founders have tons of free time… how often should they be spending it on Internet pontificating? I often wonder why Ycombinator bothers to keep the HN lights on. I guess maybe their startups can still get a little bump with launch or hiring posts? It seems like the pain to reward ratio is way worse now. PG abandoned it long ago. There are a bunch of folks on the top karma list who have not (or only barely) posted here in years.