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What Happened to the Microsoft Monopoly?
- adventureful 14y agoThe only way Microsoft, like IBM before it, could have held onto its market position was if the government stepped in and specifically protected it.
- cturner 14y agoI'm surprised by the large Android figures there. For a time OSX became the most widely distributed unix-like consumer system and that was exciting. But despite a strong play, it's being overtaken by android. Looking at these numbers, if I was starting a consulting business at the moment I'd be tempted to focus at android.
- adventureful 14y ago900,000 Android device activations per day Seems likely that the Android party will continue to be a big fractured mess, but at that kind of scale there's always opportunity.
- njharman 14y agoFractured, commodity market, lots of competition, lots of dead ends (failed devices, companies) Vs Unified, Premium market, no hordes of java devs jumping bandwagon, less porting, less chance of backing loser.
- adventureful 14y agoTell Samsung Android is a dead end. They're generating extraordinary profits off of Android right now.
- stfu 14y agoI have to admit that graphs using logarithmic scaling can come quite handy when trying to make a certain point.
- dude_abides 14y agoI wonder how many people who argued about Linux vs BSD in early 90s would have predicted that 20 years later, in the post-PC-era, these would be the two most popular operating systems by far, backed by the two biggest post-Microsoft tech companies, Google and Apple.
- heretohelp 14y agoWhat's interesting is they're not really competing. BSD for desktops, Linux for servers. Not the split I would've guessed 10-13 years ago.
- dude_abides 14y agoMy point was that Android is based on Linux and iOS on BSD. So the split really is BSD & Windows for desktops, Linux for servers, and BSD & Linux for phones. Who would have predicted this?
- heretohelp 14y agoI'm pretty sure the only thing Windows can compete on, on the desktop, is price. That has to really suck. There are very few niches/users left that actually want Windows > Apple, and most of them begin with "gam" and end with "ing".
- jonhendry 14y agoExcept there it isn't so much Windows competing on price, as it is the hardware, which is a commodity. The way Microsoft prices Windows, at least at retail, and the way they segment their OS features for different markets, are really annoying and somewhat painful.
- ghshephard 14y agoWindows still owns the enterprise. Active Directory / Group Policies still beat anything you can do with OS X, and IT groups have 10 years of experience they don't want to walk away from. But, users are pulling these organizations, kicking and screaming into a world in which everyone wants a MacBook Air/Pro. I really don't envy Microsoft.
- cap10morgan 14y agoThis article misses the forest for the trees. During the height of Microsoft's monopoly, consumers were very much limited in their choices. MS did everything they could to keep the likes of OS/2 and BeOS off of new PCs, and that means no one ran other OS's, so no one wrote apps for them. Had that not been the case, the PCs, phones, and tablets we use today would be very different. I daresay they'd be better, for having arrived at many current innovations sooner due to the more robust level of competition and potentially having more viable options in the market today. Just because MS lost its monopoly on its own does not mean that we, as consumers, would not have benefitted--and would still be benefitting--from breaking up that monopoly when it was more dominant.
- jonhendry 14y agoExcept Microsoft's leverage in operating systems never really carried over to other hardware platforms, like phones and PDAs.
- cap10morgan 14y agoI'm not claiming it did. I'm saying that a very different PC desktop / laptop OS and software ecosystem back in the mid-nineties would have ripple effects on PCs, phones, and tablets today.
- yuhong 14y agoYea, the entire MS OS/2 2.0 fiasco is one of my favorite topics. Why did it take ten years after Intel introduced the 386 before 32-bit programming became popular? And remember what MS did to kill DR-DOS? Guess what, OS/2 never depended on DOS!
- NelsonMinar 14y agoThis article skips over the direct role that United States v. Microsoft had in creating space for innovative companies like Apple to succeed. Without the US anti-trust intervention it's quite possible Microsoft would have totally embraced, extended, and extinguished open Web technologies and subsumed the Web into a Microsoft proprietary platform. Macs would not be nearly as viable a product if Internet Explorer were the only browser that worked with most web sites. Another important part of the history is Microsoft's June 1997 $150m investment lifeline to Apple when Apple was worth less than $4B. That investment predates US v Microsoft but at the time it was widely believed that part of Microsoft's motivation was ensuring Apple didn't go completely broke and thus invite even more monopoly scrutiny to the PC business.
- soupboy 14y agoIn what way did the anti-trust case help other companies? Or how did the bundling of IE hinder other companies like Apple? I was too young and in a country without internet access at the time to remember what the deal exactly was. But it seems to me that having IE or not on my PC would in no way have affected other companies. I mean, with Firefox and later with Chrome, people switched to it mainly because they were better browsers, not because IE wasn't on their PCs already.
- com 14y agoI recall that Microsoft became very cautious about executing embrace and extend tactics to decrease their profile for potential anti-trust cases. My guess after working at organisations under enhanced regulatory scrutiny, the distraction was probably felt most seriously in the upper cadres of the company as they would have had to critically evaluate acquisitions, new products as well as coordinate the legal and PR. The decrease in ravenous embrace and extend activities left large numbers of smaller businesses with viable business models, and ensured that the Internet remained fairly neutral for non-Microsoft software (although I still struggle to this day with intranets coded with VBScript for basic things like timewriting: if this had happened on the free Internet, it would have been significantly harder for the Firefox and Web 2.0 people to get any kind of traction...)
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- ZeroGravitas 14y agoUniversity of Chicago economics professor says government regulation not needed? Why am I not surprised?
- noarchy 14y agoI know what you're getting at, but one could argue that the market indeed took care of the problem (if you consider it to be a problem) of Microsoft having such a large market share. Apple innovated, and Linux found a place in Android. Suddenly Microsoft is playing catchup.
- rprasad 14y agoThe market took care of the problem only because the antitrust injunction prevented Microsoft from dominating the market in its customary manner. Without that injunction, Apple would be dead today. (Microsoft's investment in Apple during the antitrust proceedings is the only reason Apple survived long enough to push out the iPod.) Indeed, a lot of what Apple is lauded for today (i.e., integration) is stuff that Microsoft was explicity prevented from doing under the terms of the antitrust injunction.
- noarchy 14y agoMicrosoft's investment in Apple wasn't mere charity, if we're to believe this anecdote: http://www.forbes.com/sites/ericjackson/2012/03/01/steve-jobs-used-patents-to-get-bill-gates-to-make-1997-investment-in-apple/ http://www.forbes.com/sites/ericjackson/2012/03/01/steve-job... Things like the iPhone weren't going to come from Microsoft. Rather than beating them in the desktop market, which Apple still hasn't done, it won on a different battlefield.
- rprasad 14y agoThat was my point -- without the antitrust injunction, Microsoft would not have invested in Apple. Ergo, Apple owes its existence today to the injunction.
- rdw 14y agoIt's impossible to conclude from the evidence presented that the antitrust action had no effect on the breaking down of Microsoft's monopoly. It's entirely plausible that the enforcement left them unable to respond as quickly to new markets as their competitors, leading to them beginning to get undermined a few years later. Abusing their monopoly in the PC OS market to get advantages in unrelated markets was in many complaints against Microsoft at the time. It's entirely within reason to believe that had the Justice Department not been breathing down their necks that Microsoft would have used its monopolies to illegally squash the original iPod. There are plenty of examples of products that were well-made, innovative, and desired but didn't make a major market impact for poorly-understood reasons (WebOS comes to mind). It's not at all obvious that the iPod was bound to succeed; if all those amorphous outside factors hadn't gone its way, we could be sitting around discussing how the iPod was a repeat of the Newton, and how inevitable it was that Microsoft finally cracked the the MP3 market with Plays4Sure.
- azakai 14y ago> It's impossible to conclude from the evidence presented that the antitrust action had no effect on the breaking down of Microsoft's monopoly. It's entirely plausible that the enforcement left them unable to respond as quickly to new markets as their competitors, leading to them beginning to get undermined a few years later. In fact, companies targeted by antitrust (I think it was IBM) have stated that antitrust regulation, by itself, shifted their focus. You are no longer rushing ahead, instead you must be cautious about everything. So it is indeed quite plausible that antitrust actions against Microsoft made possible the current non-Microsoft-dominated era.
- dougabug 14y agoApple was on life support during the mid-90's. Microsoft nearly killed the Mac with its unimaginative imitator, Windows, but probably held off from killing Apple completely because of the Antitrust case hovering over it. Many if not most of the early personal computer software companies were driven out of business by Microsoft.
- tomjen3 14y agoThe rebirth of Netscape navigator, JQuery and XMLHttpRequest happened to the Microsoft Monopoly.
- derleth 14y agoSo the interesting question is, why didn't Microsoft hop into the Web with both feet in the late 1990s back when it owned personal computing via Windows monopoly? Why did MSIE stall out at IE6 for so long?
- fein 14y agoHindsight is always 20-20. We can only speculate at this point, but if we take a look at the timeline for the browser wars, we get some interesting insight. From the mid 90's through 2000, we had Netscape as a serious source of competition for MS. MS released IE 1-6 between 1995 and 2001. That's 5 versions inside 6 years. Netscape was bought out by AOL in 1998, thus ending the need for MS to continue improving IE6. Now, there were other browsers at that time, as Netscape opensourced the browser code and gave it to Mozilla, but they all failed to achieve traction. Throughout the 5 year period of IE stagnation, Mozilla had the time to start the war machine up again and start pushing out new code. MS knew that FF was coming, and they knew the feature set that FF supported. The answer to this was IE7 in 2005, however it was pretty much too little too late. FF2.0 was released in 2006, only about a half year after IE7. It had all the same features (plus a few additional) but guess what? It had an intuitive UI and worked well, unlike the MS counterpart that still reeked of R&D stagnation. Not to say that MS didn't do good things for the web, just that, without another company to light the fire under their ass, they failed to innovate. And that's pretty much where we are now: Microsoft is trying to build a browser that actually works (IE9 isn't a total failure), and Google/ Mozilla keep them on their toes. It's a win win for the consumer.
- rprasad 14y agoMicrosoft created the XMLHttpRequest standard; it was first featured in Internet Explorer. Microsoft was also one of the first backers of jQuery. Mozilla owes much of its market share to the EU, which forced Microsoft to bundle competing browers with Windows, and to the collapse of Netscape in the first dotcom bubble.
- mtgx 14y agoWe should be happy Microsoft is not a monopoly anymore, and instead of trying to encourage them to come back to that position, we should encourage the competition to even things out some more.