The wins are Saliency Bias. You don't read about all the cases where the detective, either pro or amateur, spends days looking and comes up empty. The amateur d

The wins are Saliency Bias. You don't read about all the cases where the detective, either pro or amateur, spends days looking and comes up empty. The amateur doesn't have anyone breathing down their neck for results. If you're the detective's boss, you have to tell them, at some point, "OK, let's spend our time where we can do some good." Because you have no assurance that the cold case is ever going to work out.