3 ms·
If you look at the example given for survivorship bias in the wiki closely, you may find your analogy doesn't exactly match. My comparison would be: An 100+
by sillyfluke 2y ago
If you look at the example given for survivorship bias in the wiki closely, you may find your analogy doesn't exactly match.
My comparison would be: An 100+ old person says the key to their longetivity was walking a little bit every day. Then he falls on one of his walks and dies. Someone says it's ridiculous encouraging old people to walk because their bones are brittle and one fall could kill them. But all the people that were lifelong couch potatoes are already dead. ie -- wrong conclusion, old guy happened to be closer to the truth in this case.
- jraph 2y agoSurvivorship bias may encompass several subtly different cases. I didn't make an analogy, I provided an example. How do you know the advice to walk from the old person is correct? Because we have studies that conclude walking everyday is good for the health and using the bones actually strengthens them (probably with caveats, where specific people in specific situations should actually not do this for some reasons), etc. You don't know from n=1.