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I did some digging.The title is misleading - YTD Tesla is way ahead - https://imgur.com/56eG7CN https://imgur.com/56eG7CN Actual Numbers - BMW registration for
by jackedEngineer 2y ago
I did some digging.The title is misleading -
YTD Tesla is way ahead - https://imgur.com/56eG7CN https://imgur.com/56eG7CN
Actual Numbers - BMW registration for the month of July 2024 were up by 300~ cars.
Original Source - https://www.jato.com/resources/media-and-press-releases/bmw-tops-bev-market-in-july-amid-ev-registration-slowdown https://www.jato.com/resources/media-and-press-releases/bmw-...
Quoting this comment -
streptomycin-
Yes https://i.imgur.com/ZNv1AyD.jpg https://i.imgur.com/ZNv1AyD.jpg
Although BMW is making some nice EVs and they are selling more than they used to, the headline is misleading.
ultrablack22 - Tesla produce a lot of for the EU in China. They have a schedule where for each quarter, months 1, 2 and 3, in Month 1, they produce cars. In Month 2 they sail them over from China. And in Month 3, they arrive and are sold.
BMW managed to overtake Tesla in the first month of Q3, barely. When Tesla really had no cars for sale.
- deleted 2y ago[deleted]
- dylan604 2y ago> BMW registration for the month of July 2024 Do the manufactures consider sales to dealers in their sales numbers or are they actual sales to people that then registers the car as in use?
- mathgeek 2y agoRegistration is generally done when the consumer takes possession of the vehicle.
- dylan604 2y agoI understand when registration is done, but that does not answer the question. Are the numbers what the makers sell to the dealers but have yet been sold to a buyer, or are they legit sells to buyers? I can see where the makers pad their numbers by using what was sold to the dealers to have on the lots as they've technically sold the car, but it's a misleading number. Same game as storage makers using powers of 10 vs powers of 2 in their capacity claims.
- twobitshifter 2y agothe quote says “registrations” therefore it is when possession is taken
- bonestamp2 2y agoYa, it is kind of weird because the Dealer is actually the OEM's customer. But they measure in sales to the consumer, which is a more useful number because: 1. Dealers will order certain high demand vehicles all day long when they are allowed to do so ("allocations") even though they don't have specific consumers in mind to buy them. 2. When new models become available they will also order a bunch of that new model. 3. They will order some random vehicles to look nice in their showroom or on the lot. Fun example: I recently drove by a Porsche dealership that had a bunch of Macan's lined up out front -- one in each color! So, sales to the consumer is more useful because it's the only way to measure actual consumer demand. This is also why you sometimes see a model that hasn't been manufactured for several years show up in these new car sales reports... they were sitting on a lot unsold for that long. You can also find numbers for how many of each model they've manufactured each month, which is useful for different reasons of course, and sometimes they sit on the manufacturer's lot for weeks or months before they're delivered to dealers. We saw this coming out of the pandemic when there weren't enough trains to transport the cars (most cars leave the plant on a train).
- Retric 2y agoAnnouncing BMW sold more EV’s in a single month (and they are using registrations which means actual sales) is interesting on its own. Sure it might just be random fluctuation at this point, but that just means they are neck and neck. IMO waiting for a full quarter may be more reasonable, but waiting for a full year and it’s old news.
- avar 2y ago> they are using registrations > which means actual sales No, you register a car in order to drive it on public roads in a given country. Some purchased cars are never registered (track use, private export etc.), or defer the registration (no reason to pay road tax if you're not driving it yet).
- Retric 2y agoI didn’t say they were guaranteed to be 1:1, but every registration is an actual sale. The point is the number of sales is going to be grater than or equal to the number of registrations. So this isn’t some gameable metric like number of cars manufactured. It’s possible there is some underlying bias here, but there’s no reason to assume it favors one company over the other enough to offset a 300 car difference in a single month especially as the total numbers just aren’t that high.
- avar 2y agoI'm not arguing the thrust of your point here, just noting that there isn't a 1:1 correspondence in case anyone's under that particular misconception. I agree that registrations is probably the least bad metric, and I doubt BMW is gaming it in this case. But saying it isn't gameable is a bridge too far. Manufacturers can trivially game it, it's just marginally more expensive to do so than to shift manufacturing numbers between quarters E.g. BMW used to operate its own car rental, they could manufacture 1k vehicles each month in Q3, then sell them all to themselves in the last month of Q3, and register them at the same time. They can also do this with any "self dealing" or corporate registrations by simply sitting on inventory and then lowering their prices, consumers would take care of the rest.
- 1vuio0pswjnm7 2y ago"The title is misleading." OK, let's assume the title misled me. What do I now believe as a result that is incorrect. Titles are not summaries. It is expected that readers will read the body of the submission not merely the title. Is the JATO Dynamics report accurate. The title is simply repeating an alleged fact contained in the report. Is it false. If all a reader ever does is read titles, I am afraid "misled" is an understatement for how disllusioned that reader may become. People defending Tesla and Musk always come across as try hard.
- jackedEngineer 2y agoTitles may not be summaries, but you would be surprised to know how many people form their opinion about the body of an article based solely on the title. Your statement about people defending Tesla and Musk always coming across as "try hard" is subjective. I could say the same about you, who consistently criticize Tesla and Musk as try hard, but I won't, because I prefer to focus on the facts rather than making generalizations. I would have posted a similar comment if the submission title was something like "Samsung beats Apple in July sales by 300 devices" while the article revealed that, year-to-date, Apple had actually outsold Samsung by a 3:1 margin and if it wasn’t true. In such a case, I would consider the title to be misleading. I chose to comment on this specific post because I am familiar with the automotive industry. It appears that the source cited in the article may be misleading because The data from https://eu-evs.com/bestSellersCharts/ALL/Brands/Bar/Year-by-Months/2024 https://eu-evs.com/bestSellersCharts/ALL/Brands/Bar/Year-by-... does not seem to support the claim made in the title. In the future, instead of attacking the poster as "try hard," it would be best for everyone to read beyond the title, verify the sources, and engage in constructive discussions.