3 ms·
Well, there are some thing to be put on the table: - in 10 years audio/video resolutions will probably be very higher, probably a bit more than human eye resol
by kkfx 2y ago
Well, there are some thing to be put on the table:
- in 10 years audio/video resolutions will probably be very higher, probably a bit more than human eye resolution, 3D movies might became a thing not only a curios experiment demanding very expensive and crappy iron to be used, so it would be common having let's say 50Gb for a common movie, demanding let's 1Gb/sec for a conference call etc;
- dataset will probably be much bigger, fine grained and very long in timeline terms, let's say a future home assistant with InfluxDB will not record daily maxima and minima for 10 years but 1' resolution temp and gazillion more sensors, let's say it could be common to have 3D thermo-cam at home to regulate ventilation better and so on.
So, on one side, anything computer related should be expected much bigger than today, as today almost anything is much bigger than 10 years ago, and not in a linear progression.
As a middle ground we have to consider some so far known physical limitations and some climate and geopolitical changes, meaning it's even possible than in 10 years internet will be in a much worse shape than today because mass migrations and world wars have cracked the current infra and poverty caused by wars and not so well done and quick reorganization of the world supply chains might left us with limited wireless comms with too few low altitudes satellites.
Finally... If we achieve a steady bandwidth growth the current dare, sorry state of IT, archaically keeping up a crappy modern mainframe model for the service economy, where almost no one own nothing except big tech... Well, it might be worse "hey, do not buy an expensive NVME drive! Just mount an NVME one in a proper datacenter via internet" and I do not like much such nightmare...
BEWARE, so far thin clients are not much less limited than old dumb terminals, but they are still common and it's pretty common to have gazillion of people working on remote desktop because 99% of the companies infra are not designed for distributed desktop computing, so they keep absurd centralization, totally ignoring the enormous waste of resources, limits of use and comfort, and attack surface of modern "endpoints". Such disgraced model can be made worse under the flag of reducing hw costs to the consumer.
- enceladus06 2y agoSomething like the Apple Vision Pro with 8k spatial video will be the de facto standard 10 years from now (2034). I watched the Vision Pro demo at the Apple Store, and yes, that is crazy and is the future of A/V tech, so we will need high-bandwidth 2.5Gbps+ connections to support it.