I mentioned decades though, most environmental models target the 20-30 year range and I've never seen one that goes out to 500 years. You're changing my point s

I mentioned decades though, most environmental models target the 20-30 year range and I've never seen one that goes out to 500 years. You're changing my point so you can argue against something I never said. I'd expect a model that is expected to be accurate over a handful of decades would in fact be predictive on the scale of a year or a few years. I also specifically left open the avenue that a model didn't predict this as a likely outcome but did have smaller probability outcomes that would have predicted a temperature decrease. Its reasonable enough that the model may have found this as unlikely, but unreasonable if the model was so wrong that it wasn't even aware of this as a possible outcome in the first few years of the model. The data simply can't be useful 30 years out when it has such blind spots only a year or a few years out. For clarity, when I mention models here I mean all recent environmental models attempting to predict global climate or specifically ocean temperatures. If we have no idea why the temperature has dropped then every model failed to provide any scenarios where that would have happened.