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This is not at all true, and I think it's an example of what statisticians have to fight against in order to explain anything. Most people have an almost religi

This is not at all true, and I think it's an example of what statisticians have to fight against in order to explain anything. Most people have an almost religious belief that inferences drawn from statistics should be intuitive, when they are often often extremely counterintuitive. > After all, most statisticians thought Marilyn vos Savant was wrong about the goats too... This is the opposite of the argument that you're making. Here you're saying that probability is so confusing and counterintuitive that even the experts get it wrong.

tomlue 2y ago
My point was that the experts were blinded by arrogance. Even back then most ( almost all? ) statisticians were capable of understanding the monte hall problem. Yet they just assumed that a woman was wrong when she explained something that didn’t match their intuition. Instead of stopping to think, they let their arrogance take over and just assumed they were right.
deleted 2y ago
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