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Nate Silver is so utterly intolerable. The guy got lucky once, and is now framed as an expert, and has the commensurate smugness that makes it completely imposs
by WheatMillington 2y ago
Nate Silver is so utterly intolerable. The guy got lucky once, and is now framed as an expert, and has the commensurate smugness that makes it completely impossible for me to listen to him for more than a couple of minutes at a time.
- vFunct 2y ago[dead]
- MostlyStable 2y ago"Got lucky once" is one of the craziest descriptions of multiple models across multiple domains that demonstrate consistent high rates of calibration across time. Yes his initial success in one election was likely at least slightly anomalous, and that's the thing that made him famous initially. But to pretend that he has not continued to have continued as a predictive modeller is just wild. While he is no longer with "fivethirtyeight", this is from when he was: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/checking-our-work/ https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/checking-our-work/
- jshen 2y agoName one person with a better track record!