For anyone actually wanting real probabilities, a quick google on colorectal which the article mentions as the most common cancer for young men: "For example,

For anyone actually wanting real probabilities, a quick google on colorectal which the article mentions as the most common cancer for young men: "For example, 1 out of every 333,000 15-to-19-year-olds developed colorectal cancer in 1999. Colorectal cancer became more common by 2020, when 1 out of every 77,000 teens" https://www.webmd.com/colorectal-cancer/news/20240515/behind-the-spike-in-colorectal-cancer-cases https://www.webmd.com/colorectal-cancer/news/20240515/behind... "The study found that colorectal cancer diagnoses in children ages 10 to 14 jumped from 0.1 cases per 100,000 in 1999 to 0.6 per 100,000 in 2020, a 500% increase. Cases among 15- to 19-year-olds jumped by more than 300%, from 0.3 per 100,000 to 1.3 cases per 100,000 people. In people ages 20 to 24, cases rose from 0.7 to 2 per 100,000 people, a 185% rise." https://www.nbcnews.com/health/health-news/colon-cancer-rates-rising-decades-younger-people-study-finds-rcna151343 https://www.nbcnews.com/health/health-news/colon-cancer-rate...